Primula Baggins wrote:
Well, Obama just took Dixville Notch, NH, 15-6. But that isn't determinative; Bush won in '04 and Kerry took the state.
We'll see what we see, Hal.

I do want to point out that a 4-point popular vote margin would probably preclude a loss in the electoral vote. But again, we'll see.
About a third of us have already voted, too.
Oh, I think if McCain wins, it will be despite a massive loss in popular vote, which is why I think there will be chaos.
As for the "third" that have voted already... I think that's going to be an interesting situation. I'm not sure how that will influence news organizations calling things. From what I can tell, all the information about that early vote is based on estimates by party insiders making estimates due to thier efforts to get out the vote. I don't personally think these figures are accurate, but who knows...
The only real hope I have for conservative victory... is that going into every election since '92, the expected result was dread for conservatives, and yet they have come out ahead every time except in '06.
What will be will be. I'm more worried about chaos due to irregularities than I am about any results...