Desolation of Smaug predictions

[Beutlin]

[Note: I split this off from the main DoS thread - VtF]


Place your predictions for “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug”!

Tomatometer (as of December 16th): 77%

North American Opening Weekend: $70,000,000

Total North American Gross: $265,000,000

World Wide Gross: $930,000,000 (after Japanese and Chinese release)

Disclaimer: I do not put much faith in the Tomatometer or any other pseudo-statistical assessment of art. But I find it funny to bet on future results.

Disclaimer: No, I am not a member of gamblers anonymous.

[Smaug's voice]

Tomatometer: 70-80

Worldwide gross: 1.1-1.2 billion

[yovargas]

Predictions!

Tomatometer (as of December 16th): 81%

North American Opening Weekend: $76 mil

Total North American Gross: $295 mil

World Wide Gross: $1.2 bil

[Voronwë the Faithful]

I'll bite:

Tomatometer (as of December 16th): 87%

North American Opening Weekend: $86 mil

Total North American Gross: $320 mil

World Wide Gross: $1.2 bil

[yovargas]

(I'm putting opening US gross slightly lower than AUJ's because I suspect less people will pay the HFR premium this time around.)

[Voronwë the Faithful]

And I'm putting it higher, because I think the buzz is going to be greater (particularly after I saw that Richard Corliss of Time has already listed it as one of his top ten films of the year).

[Voronwë the Faithful]

Additional predictions:

Critics will like it much better than AUJ.

Yov will like it much better than AUJ.

Elen will like it much better than AUJ (despite Tauriel).

PtB will like it even less than AUJ.

[yovargas]

Yov will like it much better than AUJ.

And I predict I will like it just about the same. We'll see soon enough!

[Voronwë the Faithful]

See we will! The nice thing is I have perfect confidence that you will express your honest opinion, rather than try to make your prediction come through.

[yovargas]

Now I'll try to hate it just a little extra just to bug you.




The one thing safe enough that it barely counts as a prediction: I'll really, really like Freeman.

[Beutlin]

Tomatometer (as of December 16th)

Voronwë the Faithful: 87%
yovargas: 81%
Beutlin: 77%

North American Opening Weekend

Voronwë the Faithful: $86,000,000
yovargas: $76,000,000
Beutlin: $70,000,000

Total North American Gross

Voronwë the Faithful: $320,000,000
yovargas: $295,000,000
Beutlin: $265,000,000

World Wide Gross

Voronwë the Faithful: $1.2 Billion
yovargas: $ 1.2 Billion
Beutlin: $900 Million

Smaug's voice, I need more accurate numbers!

[Voronwë the Faithful]

For the record, I originally put 81% for the tomatometer, but I changed it in an excess of enthusiasm.

[sauronsfinger]

Tomatometer (as of December 16th)
85%

North American Opening Weekend
80 mil

Total North American Gross
315 mil

World Wide Gross
1.145 bil

Academy Awards
two

[Smaug's voice]

Tomatometer (as of December 16th)

Voronwë the Faithful: 87%
yovargas: 81%
Beutlin: 77%

North American Opening Weekend

Voronwë the Faithful: $86,000,000
yovargas: $76,000,000
Beutlin: $70,000,000

Total North American Gross

Voronwë the Faithful: $320,000,000
yovargas: $295,000,000
Beutlin: $265,000,000

World Wide Gross

Voronwë the Faithful: $1.2 Billion
yovargas: $ 1.2 Billion
Beutlin: $900 Million

Smaug's voice, I need more accurate numbers!

Not from USA here and not an expert in these matters anyway. So I can't predict the NorthAmerican gross.

You can include the other two if you want.
Updated:

Tomatometer: 83% *
Worldwide gross: 1.2 billion $

Updated after seeing the TIME report.

[Elentári]

I don't have much of a head for figures... (and I'm really not bothered how much it makes, I'm more concerned about whether it's a good film!)

Critics will like it much better than AUJ.

Agreed

Yov will like it much better than AUJ.

Probably

Elen will like it much better than AUJ (despite Tauriel

Ya think? I really don't know...hoping for the best but not overly confident.

PtB will like it even less than AUJ.

I think PtB may possibly like it marginally better...

This one's a dead cert:

SF will LOVE it even more than AUJ...

[Voronwë the Faithful]

Elen will like it much better than AUJ (despite Tauriel

Ya think? I really don't know...hoping for the best but not overly confident.

I almost took the "much" out, but I'll tentatively stick by it, just to be hopeful.

[Frelga]

Frelga will yell, "Oh, come on, PJ!" out loud at least once.

[sauronsfinger]

SF will LOVE it even more than AUJ...

Oh but I am easy. If I was born female I would have 17 children.

[sauronsfinger]

SF will LOVE it even more than AUJ...

:

Boy oh boy are you dead on Elen.

Oh but I am easy. If I was born female I would have 17 children.

[Smaug's voice]

The only certainty:

Smaug's voice will get goosebumps from Smaug's voice!